Democrats are in panic mode since the rule is that if a Republican gets at least 15% of the Black vote then they can never win, ever. According to three of the most accurate polls Trump is at 30% and slowly ticking up. This unprecedented demographic phenomenon could very well spell the demise of the Democrat party.
The media is largely silent on this issue, aren't we surprised, though when it is acknowledged we see tweets of disbelief and ridicule.
CNN political commentator best exemplifies this ignorance from the left on rising Black support for Trump:
No, the political left cannot allow the Black community to think for itself and to finally break free from the Democrat party. In a 2015 speech former Texas Gov. Rick Perry nailed this point when he said:
“Democrats have long had the opportunity to govern African-American communities. It is time for black families to hold them accountable for the results. And I’m here to tell you it is Republicans, not Democrats, who are truly offering black Americans the hope for a better life for themselves and their children.”
Black support is indeed rising for a variety of reasons and backed up by solid data from a variety of highly reputable polling sites such as Emerson and Merris. Even internal polling within the NAACP confirms a significant rise in support for Trump.
With unemployment for Blacks at a historic low we see a central reason for the increase in support. In addition, the First Step Act has freed many once incarcerated for life due to now minor repeat offenses. Many of Trump's critics have begrudgingly conceded that the conservative party now takes the lead in criminal justice reform.
The passage of Opportunity Zones spurred development and investment in economically-distressed communities around the country as well.
From the Wall Street Journal, "Can Trump Earn Black Support":
An enduring condescension of our politics is that the voting preferences of minorities, especially black Americans, are monolithic and unchanging. This is notably untrue of Hispanics, whose vote this time is up for grabs, and who are a substantial percentage of voters in Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, Texas and Florida. As well, one of the great, well-documented social dynamics of our time is the migration of black Americans out of the politically blue urban centers in the north—New York, Philadelphia, Chicago, even Los Angeles—for greater economic opportunity across the Southern U.S. Days ago, the Journal reported on the array of benefits manufacturers are offering to get needed workers to relocate to take a half-million unfilled factory jobs. Social mobility, the most durable antipoverty program, is stirring again.
Another major factor to consider is Kanye West's support for Trump. With a legion of many millions of fans West's influence cannot be underestimated. His recent transformation into a man of the church figures into the powerful political role of the church in Black communities.
Now we all remember the accuracy of all those polls that predicted a clear and inevitable victory for Clinton in 2016. So, time will only tell if the data translates into actual votes for Trump at the polling both come 2020. The proof will be in the pudding.
“Elections belong to the people. It's their decision. If they decide to turn their back on the fire and burn their behinds, then they will just have to sit on their blisters.”
― Abraham Lincoln